...before I even begin, WTF? Who picked this color scheme?!? Jesus...I love it!
Anyway, before I went on my trip I had this kick ass video of analyzing your database for leaks made for you guys and for the leggo promotion. Unfortunately my system caved in. I'm back up and running now w/ a new computer, but haven't played poker in over a week. I'm starting to have withdrawal symptoms. Anyway, I will put up the review of my last 50k hands at 100nl for you guys w/ what I've found to be my biggest leaks.
I hope that it can help some of you guys in your game. I feel like I'm one of the better hand readers at the 100nl level, but I take it to the extreme. Sometimes I level myself, and don't give enough credit other times. This advice should help me improve my game, as well as you guys if you have any of these leaks.
(50k) hands + (4) approx. 10 buy-in downswings + (3) approx. 10k hands break even stretches = still a decent winner.
That last equation just goes to show you the variance involved in this game, and having the bankroll to sustain the swings. I'm sure all of you know I have crazy strict bankroll requirements, and I have no problem moving down if I feel funny/uncomfortable/tilted/whatever the case. I will never go bust, but I might never move up either! So it's really a matter of personal preference I guess.
Graphs:


Leaks (in order of biggest to smallest ) :
1. When facing a raise of my flop c-bet I need to assign my opponents a certain range, take a look at their stack size, make a plan for my hand, and STICK to that plan. Continuing on in the hand with top pair weak kicker (no draw) or worse is lighting money on fire for me. While I catch bluffs every once in a while, it is hugely -EV for me. I know we all hate folding to min-raises but sometimes it's the play that makes the most sense EV wise.
2. My second biggest leak is playing multi way pots when I am not the preflop raiser. I get married to too many marginal holdings. I am also a loser in HU pots when I am not the preflop raiser. The majority of my profit comes from being the aggressor and taking control of the hand. I need to learn how to hand read a little better (guess) when I am not in the betting control, and more importantly not give up the betting control unless it absolutely is more EV to do so.
3. Steal more it is printing money and my most profitable weapon.
4. I need to make sure I keep the fish in the pot when it makes sense to. Also I need to expand my ranges in EP when it is profitable to do so, and play on auto-pilot a little less (don't have too big a problem with this as I 4-table only).
5. I need to 3-bet more IP and less OOP.
6. Playing unsuited connectors is also lighting money on fire for me.
7. Fold to c-bets a little more often, especially against passive opponents. I float way too often.
2 comments:
that's a sexy graph Vili. How long did it take you to get in 50k hands?
Wow! Very Impressive. Coach me?
Keep up the good work
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